• 26% Rick Perry’s average support in GOP primary polls since announcing his candidacy; he’s now in the lead
• 29% Rudy Giuliani’s average support in GOP primary polls at this point in 2007; he was then in the lead source

» Just a reminder of how difficult it is to predict the outcomes of presidential primaries  six months before Iowa. It’s also instructive to recall another Southern Republican who, four years ago, was seen as a savior by the GOP establishment. He announced his candidacy late in the game, and immediately vaulted to the top of the polls. That candidate was Fred Thompson.

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