» Bipartisan support: For twelve years, Pelosi and Gingrich served together in the House of Representatives, and supported a total of 418 bills together. That’s an average of 34.83 pieces of legislation per year that enjoyed Pelosi/Gingrich support (at least, that’s what our team of math experts tells us; we didn’t have time to check their work). One such bill was the Global Warming Prevention act of 1989, the memory of which probably won’t do Gingrich any favors in the Republican primary (relatedly, neither will this). It should be noted, however, that much of this was non-contentious legislation, such as one honoring the 50th anniversary of the National Heart, Lung and Blood instituted.
» The point here isn’t that Gingrich won’t win. It’s that that attempting to predict election results based on polls is tricky, and remains tricky even when you factor in historical precedent. To drive the point home even further: Ronald Reagan led in Iowa polls by about 9 points a month prior to the caucuses. He ended up losing (to his future VP, George H.W. Bush), but then ultimately came back to win the nomination, making his Iowa loss more or less irrelevant. Every election has its own quirks and nuances; Gingrich is looking good in Iowa right now, no doubt, but so was Herman Cain before him, and Rick Perry before him, and Michele Bachmann before him.
This is his first rodeo, so people make mistakes. But I wish he would have called and said ‘Bill, I’m going in another direction.’ But he never did.Tea Party supporter Bill Hemrick • Discussing how Herman Cain blew him off during a fundraising event a few months back … and in the process cost Hemrick a position in his campaign. The way it happened is super tone-deaf: First, Cain spoke at an event, and was supposed to show up a private club dinner for businessmen, where roughly 200 rich guys were planning to donate the maximum $2,500 each to Cain’s campaign. (Do the math.) When Hemrick called and said “I’ll see you upstairs,” Cain responded, “Well, I’m at the airport.” That’s right, he didn’t show up. “I thought, wow, good communication there,” Hemrick noted. Not long after Hemrick, learned he wouldn’t be the financial chair of Cain’s campaign in Tennessee, a position promised to him by Cain. That’s just one example of Cain’s apparent poor campaigning style, according to The New York Times. source (via • follow)
» All aboard the Cain Train! Republicans in North Carolina, Nebraska, and West Virginia want Herman Cain as their nominee—he leads all of his opponents in a new PPP poll. A Washington Post/ABC poll released today showed Cain tied with Perry for second nationally, and two polls last week also showed evidence of Cain Fever sweeping the nation. This seems to be at the expense of Rick Perry, who’s collapsing just as fast as Cain is rising (in North Carolina alone, more than half of his supporters have abandoned him, and a Fox News poll last week showed him losing ten points in a month). Romney is still the (perpetually-endangered) frontrunner, but there’s a plausible argument to be made that Cain is now in the top-tier of candidates. Of course, the same thing was once said of both Donald Trump and Michele Bachmann, so take that as you will.