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February 26, 2014
According to a new poll from CBS News and the New York Times, eight out of ten Democratic voters would like to see Hillary Clinton run for president in 2016, nearly double the enthusiasm shown for any other candidate from either of the United States’ two primary political parties. Several potential candidates found support among just over 40 percent of their party, including Vice President Joe Biden and former Florida governor Jeb Bush; however, none of the figures in the poll came close to matching the approval of the former Secretary of State. (Photo courtesy of Angela Radulescu) source

According to a new poll from CBS News and the New York Times, eight out of ten Democratic voters would like to see Hillary Clinton run for president in 2016, nearly double the enthusiasm shown for any other candidate from either of the United States’ two primary political parties. Several potential candidates found support among just over 40 percent of their party, including Vice President Joe Biden and former Florida governor Jeb Bush; however, none of the figures in the poll came close to matching the approval of the former Secretary of State. (Photo courtesy of Angela Radulescu) source

16:15 // 1 month ago
January 15, 2014

Bridge scandal hasn’t soured Gov. Chris Christie’s public image in New Jersey

  • 50% of registered New Jersey voters contacted for a new Quinnipiac University poll believe Governor Chris Christie’s claims, that he did not know about or have a role in a traffic scandal currently rocking his administration, but acknowledge it will likely have an effect on any presidential ambitions he may have had.
  • 40% said they now see Gov. Christie as a bully, though the New Jersey governor also found largely favorable responses among those polled, with 54 percent saying they saw Christie as more of a leader than a bully. source
15:14 // 3 months ago
September 3, 2013

New poll finds most Americans don’t want U.S. military involved in Syria

  • 59% of Americans oppose the idea of U.S. military strikes in Syria, according to a new ABC News/Washington Post poll, while roughly 70 percent of respondents said they would not support putting U.S. troops on the ground inside the country, Opposition to airstrikes is high on both sides of the aisle too; 54 percent of the Democrats and 55 percent of the Republicans polled opposed military strikes of any kind. source
19:21 // 7 months ago
July 11, 2013
This is undoubtedly an amusing headline, but it actually touches on a serious issue in democracies: How can policymakers sell and implement necessarily policy when the general public is almost comedically misinformed about what policy is needed? The poll cited showed that Britons believe that 24% of jobless benefits are fraudulently claimed (the actual number is .7%); that violent crime is rising (it’s falling); that immigrants comprise 1/3 of the population (more like 13%); and that teen pregnancy is roughly 26 times higher than it actually is. “Politicians need to be better at talking about the real state of affairs of the country, rather than spinning the numbers,” said one of the pollsters involved. In addition, “the media has to try and genuinely illuminate issues, rather than use statistics to sensationalise.” So, in other words, the incentives structure of politics and the media needs to do a complete 180 from where they are now. Awesome, that should be a quick fix. source

This is undoubtedly an amusing headline, but it actually touches on a serious issue in democracies: How can policymakers sell and implement necessarily policy when the general public is almost comedically misinformed about what policy is needed? The poll cited showed that Britons believe that 24% of jobless benefits are fraudulently claimed (the actual number is .7%); that violent crime is rising (it’s falling); that immigrants comprise 1/3 of the population (more like 13%); and that teen pregnancy is roughly 26 times higher than it actually is. “Politicians need to be better at talking about the real state of affairs of the country, rather than spinning the numbers,” said one of the pollsters involved. In addition, “the media has to try and genuinely illuminate issues, rather than use statistics to sensationalise.” So, in other words, the incentives structure of politics and the media needs to do a complete 180 from where they are now. Awesome, that should be a quick fix. source

20:22 // 9 months ago
July 3, 2013

Poll: Early reactions to last week’s headline-grabbing SCOTUS decisions

  • 56% of those who participated in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll said they approved of the Supreme Court’s decision DOMA ruling.
  • 51% of those polled said they approved of the Court’s Prop. 8 ruling, which cleared the way for state-recognized gay marriage to return to California.
  • 33% of respondents agreed with the Supreme Court’s ruling on the Voting Rights Act, with a 51% majority expressing their opposition to the ruling that portions of the VRA were unconstitutional. source
15:59 // 9 months ago
May 17, 2013

Poll: Benghazi mainly riles up Republicans, may not be a winning issue for wider electorate

  • 41% of Republicans surveyed think Benghazi is the biggest scandal in US history
  • 39%of the aforementioned Republicans do not know what country Benghazi is in source

In the same poll: Voters trust Hillary Clinton on Benghazi more than congressional Republicans by a 10 point margin; a net +18 percent of respondents would rather congress focus on immigration reform than Benghazi; and voters were split 45/45 on whether Benghazi is more or less of a scandal than Watergate (although that broke down mostly on partisan lines).

18:15 // 11 months ago
March 4, 2013

Poll: Americans want improved relations between Obama & Israel

  • 13% of Americans believe that President Obama is too supportive of Israel, according to a new poll from The Hill. 
  • 39% of Americans believe that President Obama isn’t as supportive of Israel as he should be, with a full 30 percent of those polled saying they believe that the President is actually “anti-Israel.” What do you think of President Obama’s support (or lack thereof) for Israel? source
14:52 // 1 year ago
November 6, 2012
It’s a little early to know exactly what we can learn from social media metrics. I think the way we’ll be looking at this stuff will be very different in four years, in eight years, in twelve years. For right now, we’re kind of in an awkward adolescent age … we’re out of the classical innocent era of our youth where you could just call someone on the phone. But we’re not sure what the substitute for that is yet.
With all the recent brewhaha about Nate Silver’s controversial projections for tonight’s outcome, and while we’re all waiting for some legit data to come back from the polls, it seems like a good time to revisit our exclusive interview with Mr. Silver back in September. Enjoy! (via election)

Nate Silver is hiding in a dimly-lit room with an iPad and a MacBook Air, hoping his projections are right. 

(via gov)

19:22 // 1 year ago
19:15 // 1 year ago
September 26, 2012

Obama polling super-well right now

pbump:

The Times has Obama up nine in Florida, ten in Ohio, 12 in Pennsylvania.

A national Bloomberg poll has Obama up six. 50 percent unfavorables for Romney.

Then there’s Nate Silver, who puts Obama’s odds of winning at 80 percent.

But all of this is wrong because sampling.

For what it’s worth, the RealClearPolitics averages have Obama up by 3.7 points nationwide, which is outside of the margin of error.

9:25 // 1 year ago