The Times has Obama up nine in Florida, ten in Ohio, 12 in Pennsylvania.A national Bloomberg poll has Obama up six. 50 percent unfavorables for Romney.
Then there’s Nate Silver, who puts Obama’s odds of winning at 80 percent.
Might be a quirk, but our Obama forecast has increased by 7% (80% chance of winning the EC from 73%) since Romney’s 47% comments came out.
— Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) September 26, 2012But all of this is wrong because sampling.
For what it’s worth, the RealClearPolitics averages have Obama up by 3.7 points nationwide, which is outside of the margin of error.
I didn’t hear a lot of ideas. I heard a lot of … pat partisan platitudes. Ultimately, people are going to ask for answers.Obama adviser David Axelrod • Offering his take on the Republican candidates out there at the moment. Pretty much the only one he really had anything nice to say about was Jon Huntsman, a former Obama staffer and current subject of blogosphere love. (Huntsman was an Obama appointee.) But even considering all this, Axelrod openly admits that the economy — particularly the progress made with the economy — remains the key issue. ”You get tested in this process,” he says. “Ultimately, I’m very confident about the outcome.” source (via • follow)