Lather, rinse, repeat: Like clockwork, the latest Republican to “surge” is now showing substantial signs of collapse. Newt’s polling in Iowa has dropped 13 points in the last two weeks, down to 14% from 27%. In other words, he’s lost roughly half his support in a matter of weeks. He’s now in third place, behind Mitt Romney (20%) and Ron Paul (23%), the current first-placer. The same polling house also has him running third in New Hampshire, with 17%—behind Paul (19%) and Romney (35%). Oh, and in a national CNN poll, Gingrich’s lead has disintegrated, as he now ties Romney for first (though, as we’ll continue to say, national polls aren’t terribly important in primaries). Hey Newt, how’s the real estate down on K-Street looking?
Siri, who’s winning this debate?Siri: “There are 7 hot dog stands near you. Here’s the directions.”#iowadebate #foxdebate
— Joe (@KDX125) December 16, 2011
Picking up from where Herman Cain left off, Rick Santorum quotes from the “Gummi Bears” theme song. #FoxDebate
— ShameGravy (@FredSeton) December 16, 2011
Waiting for the Fox News panel to announce that the format of the final hour of debate will be modeled on “American Gladiators” #iowadebate
— Zac Bertschy (@ANNZac) December 16, 2011
When Rick Perry says, “I’ll be really honest with ya,” there’s a pretty good chance he’s about to lie.#iowadebate
— Paul Begala (@PaulBegala) December 16, 2011
Starting to think Rick Perry is running for SportsCenter anchor. #iowadebate
— Andy Levy (@andylevy) December 16, 2011
Fox News’ pre-debate stuff is over here, and the debate will show up around 9 p.m.
» Where to watch: We’ll be liveblogging tonight’s debate with the help of our buddies at DC Decoder, as well as a few friends. Fox News has a live feed going on over here, along with live polls and other cool stuff. And follow our posts over here!
Then there are the candidates who have pinned all their hopes in Iowa: Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum and Rick Perry.
To recap, here’s a post from CBS News on what to watch for in tonight’s GOP debate, the final one before the Jan. 3 Iowa caucus. In short, watch for Romney getting more feisty, Gingrich being attacked, and the other five holding on for dear life, trying to make a good impression before the first caucus.
I’ll be hanging with ShortFormBlog, which is liveblogging the debate along with DC Decoder. Watch for updates here and on my other Tumblr dedicated solely to the election (that one is in German). (via curiousontheroad)
Oh yeah, our friend Jessica will be helping out tonight. Hooray!
Newtiny on the bounty? This is the second poll this week indicating a slip in Newt Gingrich’s support. The winners are Ron Paul and Rick Santorum (and, to a lesser degree, Jon Huntsman), all of whom saw gains since the beginning of the month. Gingrich’s favorability dropped 19 points in the last week, and on the question of who has “stronger values,” Romney beats him by 21 points. Meanwhile, the oft-forgotten Gary Johnson—who, it’s worth saying, is a libertarian who holds many of the same positions as Paul—is still stuck at 1%. source
Our GOP Iowa debate highlight:
Bad move by Romney, an a surprising one at that. Seriously, how often does Romney make major gaffes at these debates?
Newt Gingrich’s been getting grilled on a statement he made about Palestinians being an “invented” people — which he held up under heavy criticism. The initial statement, in case you missed it: “Remember, there was no Palestine as a state - (it was) part of the Ottoman Empire. I think we have an invented Palestinian people who are in fact Arabs and historically part of the Arab community and they had the chance to go many places.”
teteroroma asks: Apparently Rick Perry thinks that states have 'sovereign rights'? I thought the Civil War solved that one for us.
» SFB says: Rick Perry is a states’ rights kinda guy. Example here. — Ernie @ SFB
Rick Perry talking tough about immigration tonight, working very hard to emphasize that he’s not weak on this issue.
Wrote a thing.
Hat tip to this headline writer.
Congrats Tumblr!
Don’t screw this up Yahoo.
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Ron Paul did a smart thing, choosing to make the focus on his infidelity answer about not following the oath of office, ensuring that people who don’t give a crap about marital infidelity have a say in this whole thing.
Michele Bachmann got a solid point in when she brought up Newt’s support of a Romneycare-style individual mandate. Romney’s response? “I know Newt Gingrich, and he is a friend of mine … but we are not clones, I promise.” Some good one-liners from Romney tonight.
If I had gotten in the NFL as a kid, I would’ve been a football star all my life, too!Mitt Romney • Getting a solid comeback on Newt’s rip on him a second ago.
How is Mitt Romney from Newt Gingrich? According to Mitt, he would not support a lunar colony, like Newt would. Newt’s response: “The only reason you didn’t become a career politician is because you lost to Teddy Kennedy in 1994.”
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