Obama polling super-well right now
The Times has Obama up nine in Florida, ten in Ohio, 12 in Pennsylvania.
A national Bloomberg poll has Obama up six. 50 percent unfavorables for Romney.
Then there’s Nate Silver, who puts Obama’s odds of winning at 80 percent.
Might be a quirk, but our Obama forecast has increased by 7% (80% chance of winning the EC from 73%) since Romney’s 47% comments came out.— Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) September 26, 2012
But all of this is wrong because sampling.
For what it’s worth, the RealClearPolitics averages have Obama up by 3.7 points nationwide, which is outside of the margin of error.