It ranges from 28 to 42 percent already; it is a huge turnout. We could hit 80 to 88 percent.Dane County Clerk Karen Peters • Discussing voter turnout for Tuesday’s recall election in Wisconsin, pitting Democrat Tom Barrett against Republican incumbent Governor Scott Walker. Peters’ estimates are based on historical tendencies for polling numbers to double during the 11am-4pm and 4pm-8pm time periods. In addition to Governor Scott Walker, Lieutenant Governor Rebecca Kleefisch and four state Senators also face recall opponents of their own. Wisconsin readers, how long did you have to wait in line to vote today? source (via • follow)
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker said his win in a June 5 recall election will push other politicians to work on reforms. He visited the Illinois Policy Institute, a conservative think tank, and spoke in front of 150 people at a downtown luncheon, the Chicago Tribune reports Friday.
“I think when we win, it will not only reaffirm what we did. It will send a powerful message to every politician…in our state and even in our city governments who are trying to take on the tough issues and do the right thing.”
Gubernatorial recalls are traditionally very difficult for non-incumbents to win, but it’s been done before — most prominently in 2003, when Arnold Schwarzenegger toppled unpopular governor Gray Davis in California.
Know what this means? At least one Democrat won a recall election in Wisconsin. Right now it’s looking like two will probably win, with one toss-up favoring the Democrat.
Don’t forget about Wisconsin today, guys: Today is a pivotal day in the state’s history, with six Republican state senators facing recall elections today. Two Democrats face a recall election a week from now. As a result, tons of money has flowed into the state in recent weeks — far more than one usually sees for elections of this nature. Depending on how things go, this could set the stage for the state’s future. As you might remember, Scott Walker kinda pissed off a lot of people earlier this year for his thus-far successful attacks on unions. We’ll keep an eye on the votes tonight.
The Details: Stick with us here. In order to recall Walker, Democrats need to gather around 540,000 signatures (that number being 25% of the total votes cast for Governor last year); once this process starts, they’ll have sixty days to hit that target. If and when they do, state election officials will likely schedule the recall on the same day as the next major statewide election. The question is: When should Democratic operatives start gathering signatures?
» The kicker: State Republicans, who would prefer the first scenario, are said to be considering launching a fake “Recall Walker” signature-gathering campaign in the fall, in order to force an early recall. Seriously, guys—who ever said politics was boring?
Reader abandonedsandals sends along this note:
“Wisconsin board approves recalls against GOP, but not Dems” — I work part-time for one of the towns in SE Wisconsin, so I’ve been keeping an eye on this. I can tell you that there’s been efforts by those of us against Walker to screw up the petitions to recall the Democrats. Nothing formally organized, but we figure the more invalid signatures, the better it is for us. So for example, I actually live in Illinois, and the Kenosha area gets a lot of Illinois visitors (people who work up here like me, belong to organizations, and there are a lot of family members spread over the two states. You just get an Illinois resident to sign the petition — using their IL street address and a Wisconsin city & state. I’ve also heard at least one rumor of getting convicts to sign!
Like I mentioned, I never saw any organized effort to screw up the petitions, just a lot of very angry Anti-Walker people talking about good ways to do it. So I suspect there will be a lot of those names being thrown out.
(I’m old enough to remember Dick Tuck — so I love this.)
A fascinating footnote to our piece from earlier.
» So, what’s going on here? Basically, the GAB’s decision means they believe the signatures collected by Democrats, in the aftermath of Gov. Scott Walker’s nationally spotlighted union-busting effort, are legitimate. The Republican signatures, however, “have raised numerous factual and legal issues which need to be investigated and analyzed,” the board says. This is likely to ignite a firestorm of accusations about political bias, favoritism and so forth — the Democrats likely see this as a major boon, as they’ve argued fraud on the GOP’s petitions. We’re inclined to sit tight and see how this plays out, but today’s events, suffice to say, don’t favor the Wisconsin GOP.
Can’t win with the current rules? Let’s change them so we can.